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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2012

An assessment of bioeconomic modeling of pest resistance with new insights into dynamic refuge fields

Résumé

We examine the optimal time-variant refuge policy to manage pest resistance to Bt crops in a finite-horizon discrete-time model. We identify analytically the intertemporal effects of refuge fields on the pest population and its susceptibility. The shape of the optimal refuge policy and whether or not pest susceptibility should be exhausted completely at the end of the time horizon depend crucially on the values of a cost premium of Bt seeds and the fitness cost of resistance (over-mortality of resistant pests) and are addressed via numerical simulations. We demonstrate the importance of modeling the dynamics of the biological system accurately, of defining a diploid (and not haploid) biological model, and of using a discrete-time (rather than continuous-time) framework.
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Dates et versions

hal-02285608 , version 1 (12-09-2019)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02285608 , version 1
  • PRODINRA : 481216

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Marion Desquilbet, Markus Herrmann. An assessment of bioeconomic modeling of pest resistance with new insights into dynamic refuge fields. Canadian Resource and Environmental Economics Study Group Annual Conference, Canadian Resource and Environmental Economics Association., Sep 2012, Vancouver, Canada. 41 p. ⟨hal-02285608⟩
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