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Article Dans Une Revue Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Année : 2018

Simulating CH 4 and CO 2 over South and East Asia using the zoomed chemistry transport model LMDz-INCA

Yi Yin
Nikolaos Evangeliou
Nuggehalli Indira
  • Fonction : Auteur
Shushi Peng
Shilong Piao
Panangady Swathi
  • Fonction : Auteur
Yogesh Tiwari
  • Fonction : Auteur
Lingxi Zhou
  • Fonction : Auteur

Résumé

The increasing availability of atmospheric measurements of greenhouse gases (GHGs) from surface stations can improve the retrieval of their fluxes at higher spatial and temporal resolutions by inversions, provided that transport models are able to properly represent the variability of concentrations observed at different stations. South and East Asia (SEA; the study area in this paper including the regions of South Asia and East Asia) is a region with large and very uncertain emissions of carbon dioxide (CO 2) and methane (CH 4), the most potent anthropogenic GHGs. Monitoring networks have expanded greatly during the past decade in this region, which should contribute to reducing uncertainties in estimates of regional GHG budgets. In this study, we simulate concentrations of CH 4 and CO 2 using zoomed versions (abbreviated as "ZAs") of the global chemistry transport model LMDz-INCA, which have fine horizontal resolutions of ∼ 0.66 • in longitude and ∼ 0.51 • in latitude over SEA and coarser resolutions elsewhere. The concentrations of CH 4 and CO 2 simulated from ZAs are compared to those from the same model but with standard model grids of 2.50 • in longitude and 1.27 • in latitude (abbreviated as "STs"), both prescribed with the same natural and anthropogenic fluxes. Model performance is evaluated for each model version at multi-annual, seasonal, synoptic and diurnal scales, against a unique observation dataset including 39 global and regional stations over SEA and around the world. Results show that ZAs improve the overall representation of CH 4 annual gradients between stations in SEA, with reduction of RMSE by 16-20 % compared to STs. The model improvement mainly results from reduction in representation error at finer horizontal resolutions and thus better characterization of the CH 4 concentration gradients related to scattered distributed emission sources. However, the performance of ZAs at a specific station as compared to STs is more sensitive to errors in meteorological forcings and surface fluxes, especially when short-term variabilities or stations close to source regions are examined. This highlights the importance of accurate a priori CH 4 surface fluxes in high-resolution transport modeling and inverse studies, particularly regarding locations and magnitudes of emission hotspots. Model perfor-Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. 9476 X. Lin et al.: Chemistry transport model LMDz-INCA mance for CO 2 suggests that the CO 2 surface fluxes have not been prescribed with sufficient accuracy and resolution, especially the spatiotemporally varying carbon exchange between land surface and atmosphere. In addition, the representation of the CH 4 and CO 2 short-term variabilities is also limited by model's ability to simulate boundary layer mixing and mesoscale transport in complex terrains, emphasizing the need to improve sub-grid physical parameterizations in addition to refinement of model resolutions.
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Dates et versions

hal-02414517 , version 1 (16-09-2020)

Identifiants

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Xin Lin, Philippe Ciais, Philippe Bousquet, Michel Ramonet, Yi Yin, et al.. Simulating CH 4 and CO 2 over South and East Asia using the zoomed chemistry transport model LMDz-INCA. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2018, 18 (13), pp.9475-9497. ⟨10.5194/acp-18-9475-2018⟩. ⟨hal-02414517⟩
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