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Article Dans Une Revue Science Année : 2021

Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects

Scott Power
Myriam Khodri
Jérôme Vialard
Beyrem Jebri
Éric Guilyardi
Shayne Mcgregor
Jong-Seong Kug
Doug Smith
Mat Collins
Geon-Il Kim
Wenju Cai
Yuko Okumura
Christine Chung
Kim Cobb
François Delage
Aaron Levine
Feng Zhu
Janet Sprintall
Emanuele Di Lorenzo
Xuebin Zhang
Jing-Jia Luo
Xiaopei Lin
Magdalena Balmaseda
Guojian Wang
Benjamin Henley

Résumé

Climate variability in the tropical Pacific affects global climate on a wide range of time scales. On interannual time scales, the tropical Pacific is home to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Decadal variations and changes in the tropical Pacific, referred to here collectively as tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV), also profoundly affect the climate system. Here, we use TPDV to refer to any form of decadal climate variability or change that occurs in the atmosphere, the ocean, and over land within the tropical Pacific. “Decadal,” which we use in a broad sense to encompass multiyear through multidecadal time scales, includes variability about the mean state on decadal time scales, externally forced mean-state changes that unfold on decadal time scales, and decadal variations in the behavior of higher-frequency modes like ENSO.

Dates et versions

hal-03431253 , version 1 (16-11-2021)

Identifiants

Citer

Scott Power, Matthieu Lengaigne, Antonietta Capotondi, Myriam Khodri, Jérôme Vialard, et al.. Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects. Science, 2021, 374 (6563), ⟨10.1126/science.aay9165⟩. ⟨hal-03431253⟩
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