How Local Context Affects Populist Radical Right Support: A Cross-National Investigation Into Mediated and Moderated Relationships - Les publications du CEVIPOF (Centre de recherches politiques de Sciences Po) Access content directly
Journal Articles British Journal of Political Science Year : 2024

How Local Context Affects Populist Radical Right Support: A Cross-National Investigation Into Mediated and Moderated Relationships

Abstract

Populist radical right (PRR) parties are often more successful in some regions of their countries than in others. However, previous research shows that the relationship between context and PRR support is not straightforward. We develop and test an expanded framework linking local conditions to PRR support through two causal mechanisms. First, we argue economic and cultural contextual factors can influence citizens by fostering a sense of perceived local decline, which in turn predicts both populist and nativist attitudes and, hence, PRR support ( mediation ). Second, we expect that citizens with fewer resources and stronger local embeddedness are more strongly influenced by the context in which they live ( moderation ). Combining geocoded survey data with contextual data from four countries (DE, FR, GB and NL), we show that the link between local context and PRR support is indeed mediated and moderated, providing a better understanding of the spatial distribution behind recent PRR success.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
BJPS Local Context Pre-print.pdf (1.14 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origin Files produced by the author(s)

Dates and versions

hal-04567653 , version 1 (03-05-2024)

Identifiers

Cite

Kai Arzheimer, Carl Berning, Sarah de Lange, Jérôme Dutozia, Jocelyn A.J. Evans, et al.. How Local Context Affects Populist Radical Right Support: A Cross-National Investigation Into Mediated and Moderated Relationships. British Journal of Political Science, 2024, 44 p. ⟨10.1017/S0007123424000085⟩. ⟨hal-04567653⟩
0 View
2 Download

Altmetric

Share

Gmail Mastodon Facebook X LinkedIn More